GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chongqing Tongliang Long are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Super League, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chongqing Tongliang LongDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hangzhou GreentownWLLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongHangzhou Greentown
36.2Attack49.2
60.9Defence42.9
43.5Form46.0
49.5Power47.3
1.35xG1.06
View match centre →