Chongqing Tongliang LongvsBeijing Guoan

Chongqing Tongliang Long are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.