Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naters · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Chênois are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Naters are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Naters hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1, while Naters holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Naters
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
7.6%
Naters has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 16 · GA 16 · avg 3.20/3.20