Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Azzurri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chênois are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Azzurri are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 8.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Azzurri hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Azzurri holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Azzurri
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
9.0%
Azzurri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/8.00