GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 8/15/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chitipa United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mitundu Baptist are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mitundu Baptist hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.3% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

28.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chitipa UnitedLWWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mitundu BaptistWDWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chitipa UnitedMitundu Baptist
25.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence66.7
44.4Form50.0
45.5Power52.1
0.53xG0.78
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