Chitipa Unitedvs
Kamuzu Barracks
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 6/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chitipa United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kamuzu Barracks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chitipa United hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80