GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 7/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chitipa United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ekhaya are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekhaya hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chitipa UnitedWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EkhayaDDWDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Chitipa UnitedEkhaya
25.6Attack33.3
61.5Defence71.8
48.7Form43.6
48.2Power50.7
0.47xG0.70
View match centre →