GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chitipa United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CIVO United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chitipa United hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chitipa UnitedLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CIVO UnitedWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chitipa UnitedCIVO United
25.6Attack16.7
61.5Defence63.9
48.7Form30.6
48.2Power40.0
0.61xG0.48
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