Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Chico are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Llaneros are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Primera A, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80