Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Chico are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Junior are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
16.0%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80