GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/22/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rionegro Aguilas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chico are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rionegro Aguilas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rionegro Aguilas hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Primera A, while Rionegro Aguilas holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rionegro Aguilas

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Rionegro Aguilas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChicoLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rionegro AguilasLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChicoRionegro Aguilas
23.8Attack38.1
34.9Defence57.1
27.0Form50.8
30.2Power51.6
0.63xG1.44
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