GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 3/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chico are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

67.3%

Model confidence

67.3%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChicoLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes TolimaWDWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ChicoDeportes Tolima
23.8Attack48.1
34.9Defence66.7
27.0Form56.8
30.2Power58.8
0.48xG1.86
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