Chicago Firevs
Santos Laguna
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Leagues Cup, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
10.1%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80