GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Leagues Cup, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

10.1%

Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago FireWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Santos LagunaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
83.3Attack16.7
83.3Defence16.7
100.0Form0.0
91.7Power18.3
2.44xG0.98
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