GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Charlotte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago FireLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CharlotteWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chicago FireCharlotte
62.7Attack53.7
54.9Defence50.0
56.9Form46.3
58.6Power50.6
2.08xG1.31
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