Chicago Firevs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/28/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Chicago Fire are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60