GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Chicago Fire II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Carolina Core are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire II hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire II

Probability

63.3%

Model confidence

9.1%

Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Fire IIWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Carolina CoreLLLLD

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Chicago Fire IICarolina Core
68.3Attack46.4
46.0Defence42.0
47.6Form33.3
53.4Power42.0
2.69xG1.36
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