Chesterfieldvs
Fleetwood Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chesterfield are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the League Two, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
13.8%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60