GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chertsey Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

11.8%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Yate TownDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownYate Town
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
89.7Power64.8
1.85xG1.12
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