GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 5/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Chertanovo U20 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nizhny Novgorod U19 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertanovo U20 hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 29.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Youth Championship, while Chertanovo U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo U20

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

8.5%

Chertanovo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo U20WDLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nizhny Novgorod U19LWLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo U20Nizhny Novgorod U19
40.4Attack40.4
22.8Defence10.5
29.8Form26.3
34.5Power29.0
2.33xG1.72
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