GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 5/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertanovo U20 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fakel U19 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 34.5 against 32.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Youth Championship, while Chertanovo U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo U20

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Chertanovo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo U20DWWDL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Fakel U19LLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo U20Fakel U19
40.4Attack38.6
22.8Defence31.6
29.8Form19.3
34.5Power32.9
1.83xG1.65
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