GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 7/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chertanovo Moscow are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zvezda St. Petersburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertanovo Moscow hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Second League - Group 2, while Chertanovo Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo Moscow

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo MoscowDDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Zvezda St. PetersburgDWLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Chertanovo MoscowZvezda St. Petersburg
59.3Attack45.1
68.5Defence51.0
59.3Form39.2
62.6Power46.8
1.96xG0.74
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