GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Mediumconfidence

Chertanovo Moscow are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Murom are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and murom hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 2, favouring a draw with 15.0% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.5%

Model confidence

15.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo MoscowLDDDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
MuromWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo MoscowMurom
56.9Attack56.9
66.7Defence76.5
56.9Form72.5
60.7Power68.5
0.93xG1.07
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