GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chertanovo Moscow are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Luki-Energiya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Luki-Energiya hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 67.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Second League - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo MoscowDWDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Luki-EnergiyaDDWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Chertanovo MoscowLuki-Energiya
59.3Attack54.9
68.5Defence76.5
59.3Form68.6
62.6Power67.8
0.97xG0.96
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