GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chertanovo Moscow are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Iskra Smolensk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertanovo Moscow hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.9% in the Second League - Group 2, while Chertanovo Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo Moscow

Probability

83.9%

Model confidence

83.9%

Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo MoscowDLDWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Iskra SmolenskDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo MoscowIskra Smolensk
59.3Attack27.8
68.5Defence31.5
59.3Form20.4
62.6Power29.3
2.88xG0.43
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