GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/4/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernomorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chernomorets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Urozhay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Urozhay hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chernomorets holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernomorets

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Chernomorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernomoretsDWWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UrozhayWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChernomoretsUrozhay
55.6Attack42.4
22.2Defence57.6
44.4Form42.4
43.8Power48.8
1.50xG1.46
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