GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevastopol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Chernomorets are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sevastopol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevastopol

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernomoretsWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SevastopolWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ChernomoretsSevastopol
55.6Attack100.0
22.2Defence55.6
44.4Form77.8
43.8Power77.5
1.64xG2.38
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