GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avangard Kursk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Chernomorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avangard Kursk

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernomoretsLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Avangard KurskDWDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChernomoretsAvangard Kursk
55.6Attack66.7
22.2Defence83.3
44.4Form83.3
43.8Power78.6
1.40xG2.20
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