GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Beroe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beroe hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BeroeWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Chernomorets 1919 BurgasBeroe
33.3Attack44.4
77.8Defence77.8
55.6Form66.7
59.1Power64.7
1.03xG0.98
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