GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cherno More Varna are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Spartak Varna are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold a 48.9-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the First League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Varna

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cherno More VarnaDDDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Spartak VarnaDWDLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
11.1Attack66.7
44.4Defence77.8
11.1Form77.8
25.8Power74.7
0.84xG1.54
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