Cherno More Varnavs
Spartak Varna
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cherno More Varna are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Spartak Varna are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold a 48.9-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the First League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Varna
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40