Cherno More Varnavs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Cherno More Varna are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 85.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00