GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Cherno More Varna are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 85.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cherno More VarnaLLDDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LudogoretsWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cherno More VarnaLudogorets
11.1Attack55.6
44.4Defence88.9
11.1Form100.0
25.8Power85.2
0.83xG1.46
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