GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cherno More Varna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cherno More Varna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cherno More Varna hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cherno More Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cherno More Varna

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Cherno More Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cherno More VarnaWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
46.2Attack33.3
82.1Defence83.3
56.4Form50.0
60.8Power56.2
1.50xG0.80
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