Cherno More VarnavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Cherno More Varna are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cherno More Varna hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cherno More Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.