Chernihivvs
Polissya II
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polissya II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chernihiv are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Polissya II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Persha Liga, while Polissya II holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polissya II
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
Polissya II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00