Cherepovetsvs
Spartak Moscow 2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cherepovets are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Spartak Moscow 2 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and cherepovets hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 2, favouring a draw with 14.4% confidence, a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
14.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60