Cherepovetsvs
Iskra Smolensk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cherepovets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cherepovets are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Iskra Smolensk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cherepovets hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the Second League - Group 2, while Cherepovets holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cherepovets
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Cherepovets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60