GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/11/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chengdu Rongcheng II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chengdu Rongcheng IILWWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028DDLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chengdu Rongcheng IIShenzhen 2028
30.0Attack60.0
61.7Defence61.7
35.0Form60.0
43.8Power60.5
0.70xG1.33
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