Chengdu Rongcheng IIvs
Guangdong Mingtu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 5/4/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chengdu Rongcheng II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guangdong Mingtu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangdong Mingtu hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80