GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/30/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chengdu Better City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shandong Luneng are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chengdu Better CityLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Shandong LunengDLWWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Chengdu Better CityShandong Luneng
63.6Attack60.9
66.7Defence44.9
68.2Form56.5
66.7Power55.0
2.35xG1.08
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