GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chengdu Better City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

15.6%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chengdu Better CityDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chengdu Better CityChongqing Tongliang Long
63.6Attack36.2
66.7Defence60.9
68.2Form43.5
66.7Power49.5
1.70xG0.63
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