GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/26/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chengdu Better City are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chengdu Better CityDDDDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Beijing GuoanWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chengdu Better CityBeijing Guoan
63.6Attack60.3
66.7Defence57.1
68.2Form54.0
66.7Power58.1
1.82xG1.08
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