Chemnitzer FCvs
Erzgebirge Aue
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chemnitzer FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chemnitzer FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Erzgebirge AUE are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chemnitzer FC hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (84.1 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Chemnitzer FC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chemnitzer FC
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
10.1%
Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00