Chemik Bydgoszczvs
Polonia Środa
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/14/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polonia Środa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chemik Bydgoszcz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Polonia Środa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Środa hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Polonia Środa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polonia Środa
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
10.2%
Polonia Środa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40