GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chełmianka Chełm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chełmianka Chełm are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sokół Kolb. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chełmianka Chełm hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Chełmianka Chełm holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chełmianka Chełm

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

10.9%

Chełmianka Chełm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chełmianka ChełmWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sokół Kolb.DWWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chełmianka ChełmSokół Kolb.
50.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form16.7
86.5Power31.3
2.05xG1.05
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