Chelyabinskvs
Torpedo Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 8/15/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chelyabinsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Torpedo Moskva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Moskva hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the First League, while Torpedo Moskva holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
14.7%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00