ChelyabinskvsRodina Moskva

Chelyabinsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Rodina Moskva are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelyabinsk hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.