ChelyabinskvsNizhny Novgorod

Chelyabinsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nizhny Novgorod are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 43.9-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 89.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the First League, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.