GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Chelyabinsk II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 66.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

73.1%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelyabinsk IIDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chelyabinsk IIPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
25.0Attack78.3
46.7Defence53.3
23.3Form70.0
34.4Power66.1
0.71xG2.53
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