Chelyabinsk IIvs
Nosta
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelyabinsk II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Chelyabinsk II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nosta are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelyabinsk II hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Second League - Group 4, while Chelyabinsk II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chelyabinsk II
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Chelyabinsk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00