Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chelsea are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tottenham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60