GGOALVIO

Chelsea logoChelseavsReal Sociedad logoReal Sociedad

SCHEDULED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chelsea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chelsea are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chelsea holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chelsea

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

10.4%

Chelsea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChelseaDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real SociedadLDLDD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ChelseaReal Sociedad
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60
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